Supporters of Newcastle United are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's side as a fickle companion. On their day, they prove to be the undisputed entertainers, delivering breathtaking performances. But, on other occasions, key individuals like Sandro Tonali and others simply fail to appear.
Adding to the frustration is a late-game strategy riddled with a pronounced element of disorganization. Ahead of their trip to Manchester United, the numbers tell a concerning story: they have squandered thirteen vital top-flight leverage from leading positions this season and are yet to keep a shutout in ten consecutive matches across all competitions. Earning a win at Old Trafford would represent only their second league triumph on the travel this season.
Conversely, defeat has only come once in their most recent six Premier League encounters, and despite sitting in a seemingly lowly eleventh spot, they are a mere six marks away from the highly-prized top four. Consider an impending two-part Carabao Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a decent opportunity of advancing to the Champions League knockout phase, and it becomes simpler to understand the manager's guarded optimism.
“We don't just have issues,” said the club's boss. “We have strengths as well. My glass is firmly positive currently. I realize outside observers may hold a divergent take, but I feel we are getting better.”
The challenge remains: will this squad match – or perhaps eclipse – the heights of last season's cup glory and European-qualifying finish? Managing a packed schedule hinders.
The resulting heavy-leggedness might explain the inability to uphold a superb opening 45-minute showing against Chelsea, eventually squandering a 2-0 advantage to tie 2-2. Similarly, it is possibly the explanation for a subdued performance in a damaging loss to local rivals Sunderland, where the team looked off the pace just a short time after a tough Champions League away day.
While on-field instruction is clearly the manager's forte, the constant schedule of two games a week matches has radically limited valuable training time. This slows the team's tactical evolution to operating with new striker Nick Woltemade leading the line, instead of the departed Alexander Isak. While extremely talented, Woltemade lacks the same searing counter-attacking speed or ferocious pressing.
Indeed, the side's signature high press has sporadically broken down. Injuries to vital component the Brazilian midfielder have exacerbated matters, while expensive arrivals the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have struggled settling since their combined £90m+ moves.
While a change to a three-man defense could theoretically benefit the cause, a severe backline injury list renders that problematic. Important full-backs will be absent for the upcoming key matches, further testing the squad's resources.
When playing at their high-tempo peak, they seem almost unstoppable. The catch is sustaining that level for the entire match. The often-seen plan B of dropping deep into a passive defensive formation has sometimes been counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match descended into anarchic at 2-2,” admitted the coach. “However we were going for the victory. We always try to win.”
What seems necessary is a pragmatic solution – with better possession control, a midfield capable of slowing the tempo, and a realistic readiness to occasionally accept a point. However, a ambition to compete on every competitions is testing finite squad resources to their breaking point.
It may appear unthinkable to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have alleviated the current schedule congestion. Amid vital Champions League and league games on the horizon, the need to strategically choose focus areas is growing increasingly clear.
The manager acknowledged the magnitude of the task ahead. “When you're at this club, the pressures are enormous. Every moment's crucial. We have work to do in the Premier League. We're in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we want to go through in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the correct path, but we have a great deal of work to do to become the consistently successful team we aspire to be. The ability to put winning runs has escaped us so far.
“The challenge is to attain those levels we are aware we're capable of. I believe that the confidence to do that is returning. Yet nowadays we have to prove it. It's not all bad in this moment, but the next few weeks will shape a lot.”
A seasoned angler with over 15 years of experience in competitive fishing and gear testing across North America.